Taxa de câmbio, exportações e crescimento: uma investigação sobre a hipótese de doença holandesa no Brasil Exchange rate, exports and growth: an investigation on the hypothesis of Dutch disease in Brazil

Taxa de câmbio, exportações e crescimento: uma investigação sobre a hipótese de doença holandesa no Brasil Exchange rate, exports and growth: an investigation on the hypothesis of Dutch disease in Brazil

Veríssimo, Michele Polline;Xavier, Clésio Lourenço;
brazilian journal of political economy 2013 Vol. 33 pp. 82-101
326
verssimo2013taxabrazilian

Abstract

This paper investigates the hypothesis of Dutch disease in Brazil by the existence of a negative relationship between commodity exports and the real exchange rate, and the effects of export specialization in commodities on the Brazilian economic growth from 1999 to 2010 based on VAR model. The evidences suggested an expressive importance of commodities exports in explaining the real exchange rate changes. Moreover, commodities exports shocks were relevant to explain Brazilian economic growth rate changes, which supports the "curse" of natural resources literature.

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