Determining the reliability function of the thermal power system in power plant "Nikola Tesla, Block B1"
Abstract
Representation of probabilistic technique for evaluation of thermal power
system reliability is the main subject of this paper. The system of thermal
power plant under study consists of three subsystems and the reliability
assessment is based on a sixteen-year failure database. By applying the
mathematical theory of reliability to exploitation research data and using
complex two-parameter Weibull distribution, the theoretical reliability
functions of specified system have been determined. Obtained probabilistic
laws of failure occurrence have confirmed a hypothesis that the distribution
of the observed random variable fully describes behaviour of such a system in
terms of reliability. Shown results make possible to acquire a better
knowledge of current state of the system, as well as a more accurate
estimation of its behavior during future exploitation. Final benefit is
opportunity for potential improvement of complex system maintenance policies
aimed at the reduction of unexpected failure occurrences.
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49335
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