floods and climate: emerging perspectives for flood risk assessment and management

floods and climate: emerging perspectives for flood risk assessment and management

;B. Merz;J. Aerts;K. Arnbjerg-Nielsen;M. Baldi;A. Becker;A. Bichet;G. Blöschl;L. M. Bouwer;A. Brauer;F. Cioffi;J. M. Delgado;M. Gocht;F. Guzzetti;S. Harrigan;K. Hirschboeck;C. Kilsby;W. Kron;H.-H. Kwon;U. Lall;R. Merz;K. Nissen;P. Salvatti;T. Swierczynski;U. Ulbrich;A. Viglione;P. J. Ward;M. Weiler;B. Wilhelm;M. Nied
anziam journal 2014 Vol. 14 pp. 1921-1942
124
merz2014naturalfloods

Abstract

Flood estimation and flood management have traditionally been the domain of hydrologists, water resources engineers and statisticians, and disciplinary approaches abound. Dominant views have been shaped; one example is the catchment perspective: floods are formed and influenced by the interaction of local, catchment-specific characteristics, such as meteorology, topography and geology. These traditional views have been beneficial, but they have a narrow framing. In this paper we contrast traditional views with broader perspectives that are emerging from an improved understanding of the climatic context of floods. We come to the following conclusions: (1) extending the traditional system boundaries (local catchment, recent decades, hydrological/hydraulic processes) opens up exciting possibilities for better understanding and improved tools for flood risk assessment and management. (2) Statistical approaches in flood estimation need to be complemented by the search for the causal mechanisms and dominant processes in the atmosphere, catchment and river system that leave their fingerprints on flood characteristics. (3) Natural climate variability leads to time-varying flood characteristics, and this variation may be partially quantifiable and predictable, with the perspective of dynamic, climate-informed flood risk management. (4) Efforts are needed to fully account for factors that contribute to changes in all three risk components (hazard, exposure, vulnerability) and to better understand the interactions between society and floods. (5) Given the global scale and societal importance, we call for the organization of an international multidisciplinary collaboration and data-sharing initiative to further understand the links between climate and flooding and to advance flood research.

Citation

ID: 254548
Ref Key: merz2014naturalfloods
Use this key to autocite in SciMatic or Thesis Manager

References

Blockchain Verification

Account:
NFT Contract Address:
0x95644003c57E6F55A65596E3D9Eac6813e3566dA
Article ID:
254548
Unique Identifier:
10.5194/nhess-14-1921-2014
Network:
Scimatic Chain (ID: 481)
Loading...
Blockchain Readiness Checklist
Authors
Abstract
Journal Name
Year
Title
5/5
Creates 1,000,000 NFT tokens for this article
Token Features:
  • ERC-1155 Standard NFT
  • 1 Million Supply per Article
  • Transferable via MetaMask
  • Permanent Blockchain Record
Blockchain QR Code
Scan with Saymatik Web3.0 Wallet

Saymatik Web3.0 Wallet