american journal of clinical dermatologyVol. 54pp. 138-146
166
matyasovszkygeographicacurrent
Abstract
After focusing on the changes in Hungarian temperature and preeipitation during this Century, possible hydrological,
agricultural and ecological consequences of
a future climate change are described. These results
have been obtained using a modified version of empirical downscaling techniques, developed to analyse the
local effects of global climate change in a twofold concentration of atmospheric greenhouse gases scenario. In
addition, regional changes in temperature and precipitation were examined with the help of the more specific
stochastic downscaling method. The climate of Hungary has become warmer and drier over the last Century. It
is to be expected that an increasing concentration of atmospheric greenhouse gases will enhance the tendency
towards aridification.