pemilihan distribusi probabilitas pada analisa hujan dengan metode goodness of fit test

pemilihan distribusi probabilitas pada analisa hujan dengan metode goodness of fit test

;Togani Cahyadi Upomo;Rini Kusumawardani
progress in lipid research 2016 Vol. 18 pp. 139-148
141
upomo2016jurnalpemilihan

Abstract

Rainfall event is a stochastic process, so to explain and analyze this processes the probability theory and frequency analysisare used. There are four types of probability distributions.They are normal, log normal, log Pearson III and Gumbel. To find the best probabilities distribution, it will used goodness of fit test. The tests consist of chi-square and smirnov-kolmogorov. Results of the chi-square test for normal distribution, log normal and log Pearson III was 0.200, while for the Gumbel distribution was 2.333. Results of Smirnov Kolmogorov test for normal distribution D = 0.1554, log-normal distribution D = 0.1103, log Pearson III distribution D = 0.1177 and Gumbel distribution D = 0.095. All of the distribution can be accepted with a confidence level of 95%, but the best distribution is log normal distribution.

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