prediction accuracy optimization of chaotic perturbation in the analysis model of network-oriented consumption

prediction accuracy optimization of chaotic perturbation in the analysis model of network-oriented consumption

;Dakai Li;Li Yu
communications in statistics: simulation and computation 2014 Vol. 8 pp. 116-122
137
li2014journalprediction

Abstract

As the slower rate of convergence and lower study ability in the late period of network-oriented consumption prediction model based on neural network algorithm, this paper proposed a network analysis neural model based on chaotic disturbance optimized particle swarm. Firstly, improve the initialization of particle swarm with chaotic disturbance optimization strategy in order to limit the initial position and the initial speed of limited particle. Then have an optimal operation on each individual in particle swarm with chaotic disturbance variables, so that the particles which do not enter into iteration will jump out of the local optima area. And next, optimize the PSO algorithm inertia weight by adopting adaptive adjustment strategy based on individual particle adaptive value. At last, combine the improved PSO algorithm based on chaotic disturbance with neural network algorithm, thus we will construct the network-oriented consumption analysis model. Simulation results show that the proposed network-oriented consumption analysis neural network model based on chaotic disturbance optimized particle swarm has greatly improved in prediction accuracy and computational speed.

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