Abstract
Global-scale river models (GRMs) are core tools for providing
consistent estimates of global flood hazard, especially in data-scarce
regions. Due to former limitations in computational power and input datasets,
most GRMs have been developed to use simplified representations of flow
physics and run at coarse spatial resolutions. With increasing computational
power and improved datasets, the application of GRMs to finer resolutions is
becoming a reality. To support development in this direction, the suitability
of GRMs for application to finer resolutions needs to be assessed. This study
investigates the impacts of spatial resolution and flow connectivity
representation on the predictive capability of a GRM, CaMa-Flood, in
simulating the 2011 extreme flood in Thailand. Analyses show that when single
downstream connectivity (SDC) is assumed, simulation results deteriorate
with finer spatial resolution; Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency coefficients
decreased by more than 50 % between simulation results at 10 km
resolution and 1 km resolution. When multiple downstream connectivity
(MDC) is represented, simulation results slightly improve with finer
spatial resolution. The SDC simulations result in excessive backflows on
very flat floodplains due to the restrictive flow directions at finer
resolutions. MDC channels attenuated these effects by maintaining flow
connectivity and flow capacity between floodplains in varying spatial
resolutions. While a regional-scale flood was chosen as a test case, these
findings should be universal and may have significant impacts on large- to
global-scale simulations, especially in regions where mega deltas exist.These
results demonstrate that a GRM can be used for higher resolution simulations
of large-scale floods, provided that MDC in rivers and floodplains is
adequately represented in the model structure.
Citation
ID:
190518
Ref Key:
mateo2017hydrologyimpacts