Only few countries
operate systematically national and regional forecasting services
for rainfall-induced landslides (i.e., debris flows, debris avalanches and
shallow slides), among them Norway and Italy. In Norway, the Norwegian Water
Resources and Energy Directorate (NVE) operates a landslide forecasting
service at national level. In Italy, the Regional Agency for Environmental
Protection, ARPA Piemonte, is responsible for issuing landslide warnings for
the Piedmont region, located in northwestern Italy. A daily hazard assessment
is performed, describing both expected awareness level and type of landslide
hazard for a selected warning region. Both services provide regular landslide
hazard assessments based on a combination of quantitative thresholds and
daily rainfall forecasts together with qualitative expert analysis. Daily
warning reports are published at
http://www.arpa.piemonte.gov.it/rischinaturali and
http://www.varsom.no, last access: 7 May 2018.
In spring 2013, ARPA Piemonte and the NVE issued warnings for
hydro-meteorological hazards due to the arrival of a deep and large
low-pressure system, called herein
Vb cyclone
. This kind of weather
system is known to produce the largest floods in Europe. Less known is that
this weather pattern can trigger landslides as well.
In this study, we present the experiences of NVE
and ARPA Piemonte in the late spring of 2013. The Vb cyclone influenced weather
throughout Europe over a long period, from the end of April until the beginning of
June 2013. However, major affects were observed in the first half part
of this period in Piedmont, while in Norway, major damage was reported
from 15 May to 2 June 2013. Floods and landslides
significantly damaged roads, railways, buildings and other
infrastructure in both countries.
This case study shows that large synoptic pattern can produce different
natural hazards in different parts of Europe, from sandstorms at low latitudes, to flood and
landslides when the system moves across the mountain regions. These
secondary effects were effectively forecasted by the two landslide warning
services, operating in different parts of Europe. The landslide risks were also properly
communicated to the public some days in advance. This analysis has
allowed the establishment of fruitful international collaboration between ARPA
Piemonte and NVE and the future exchange of experiences, procedures and
methods relating to similar events.