stochastic methods in risk analysis

stochastic methods in risk analysis

;Vladimíra OSADSKÁ
transactions of the vŠb: technical university of ostrava, safety engineering series 2017 Vol. 12 pp. 61-67
187
osadsk2017transactionsstochastic

Abstract

In this paper, we review basic stochastic methods which can be used to extend state-of-the-art deterministic analytical methods for risk analysis. We can conclude that the standard deterministic analytical methods highly depend on the practical experience and knowledge of the evaluator and therefore, the stochastic methods should be introduced. The new risk analysis methods should consider the uncertainties in input values. We present how large is the impact on the results of the analysis solving practical example of FMECA with uncertainties modelled using Monte Carlo sampling.

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139225
Unique Identifier:
10.1515/tvsbses-2017-0008
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