dendroindication of drought in rogatica region (eastern bosnia)
;Ducić Vladan;Ivanović Rade;Mihajlović Jovan;Gnjato Rajko;Trbić Goran;Ćurčić Nina B.
gastrointestinal endoscopy2015Vol. 67pp. 201-211
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vladan2015archivesdendroindication
Abstract
The aim of this study was to investigate the possibility of using the
dendrochronological method in drought prediction in eastern Bosnia. As an
indicator of drought, the standardized precipitation index (SPI) was used. In
the wider area of Rogatica (eastern Bosnia), 11 core samples from trees were
taken. The best connection between the width of tree rings and drought was
shown by the sample of a 67-year-old European silver fir (Abies alba) from
the mountain Bokšanica. Removal of the biological trend (standardization) was
performed by the autoregressive-moving-average (ARMA) method. Calculations
showed that precipitation, i.e. drought in the summer months, is crucial for
radial increment of the sample. The obtained results of our research have
been confirmed in examples in the region and further. [47007]