observed change in sahel rainfall, circulations, african easterly waves, and atlantic hurricanes since 1979

observed change in sahel rainfall, circulations, african easterly waves, and atlantic hurricanes since 1979

;Shih-Yu Wang;Robert R. Gillies
organometallics 2011 Vol. 2011 pp. -
216
wang2011internationalobserved

Abstract

Here, we examine the dynamic properties associated with the recent increase in the Sahel rainfall using an ensemble of five global reanalysis datasets (1979–2010). The rainfall that has been observed to be increasing over the Sahel is accounted for by enhancements in both the tropical easterly jet and the African easterly jet, both of which are known to induce wet anomalies. Moreover, positional shifts in the African easterly jet and African easterly waves (AEWs) accompanied the northward migration of the Sahel rainband. Change in the African easterly jet and AEWs are coupled to a northward shift and amplification of convective activity; this signals an increased potential for the occurrence of flash floods along the northern Sahel. In addition, the result from a wave tracking analysis suggests that the change in AEWs is closely linked to increased activity of intense hurricanes in the North Atlantic. The synoptic concurrence of AEWs in driving the dynamics of the Sahel greening and the increase in tropical cyclogeneses over the North Atlantic is an important aspect in the evaluation of climate model projections.

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ID: 133091
Ref Key: wang2011internationalobserved
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0x95644003c57E6F55A65596E3D9Eac6813e3566dA
Article ID:
133091
Unique Identifier:
10.1155/2011/259529
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Scimatic Chain (ID: 481)
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