Price Discovery and Market Reflexivity in Agricultural Futures Contracts with Different Maturities

Price Discovery and Market Reflexivity in Agricultural Futures Contracts with Different Maturities

Steffen Volkenand;Günther Filler;Martin Odening;Volkenand, Steffen;Filler, Günther;Odening, Martin;
risks 2020 Vol. 8 pp. 75-
147
volkenand2020risksprice

Abstract

The purpose of this paper is to analyze market reflexivity in agricultural futures contracts with different maturities. To this end, we apply a four-dimensional Hawkes model to storable and non-storable agricultural commodities. We find market reflexivity for both storable and non-storable commodities. Reflexivity accounts for about 50 to 70% of the total trading activity. Differences between nearby and deferred contracts are less pronounced for non-storable than for storable commodities. We conclude that the co-existence of exogenous and endogenous price dynamics does not change qualitative characteristics of the price discovery process that have been observed earlier without the consideration of market reflexivity.

Citation

ID: 109936
Ref Key: volkenand2020risksprice
Use this key to autocite in SciMatic or Thesis Manager

References

Blockchain Verification

Account:
NFT Contract Address:
0x95644003c57E6F55A65596E3D9Eac6813e3566dA
Article ID:
109936
Unique Identifier:
10.3390/risks8030075
Network:
Scimatic Chain (ID: 481)
Loading...
Blockchain Readiness Checklist
Authors
Abstract
Journal Name
Year
Title
5/5
Creates 1,000,000 NFT tokens for this article
Token Features:
  • ERC-1155 Standard NFT
  • 1 Million Supply per Article
  • Transferable via MetaMask
  • Permanent Blockchain Record
Blockchain QR Code
Scan with Saymatik Web3.0 Wallet

Saymatik Web3.0 Wallet