Research Article

Asymptotic Behavior and Optimal Control of a Stochastic SIRS Epidemic Model with Markovian Switching and Levy Jumps

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SCI J Math Sci Comp Methods, 2026, 1 (1), 13-18, doi: , ISSN

Abstract

In this paper, we investigate the dynamic behavior and optimal control strategies of a stochastic SIRS (Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered-Susceptible) epidemic model subject to both Markovian switching and Lévy jumps. The model accounts for continuous environmental fluctuations via Brownian motion, finite-state environmental regime transitions via a continuous-time Markov chain, and sudden non-Gaussian environmental perturbations through a compensated Poisson random measure. By constructing suitable stochastic Lyapunov functions, we first establish the existence and uniqueness of a global positive solution. We then derive threshold conditions that dictate either the exponential extinction of the infectious disease or its persistence in the mean. Furthermore, we formulate a stochastic optimal control problem incorporating time-dependent vaccination and treatment interventions to minimize both the burden of infection and the associated operational implementation costs. Using the stochastic Maximum Principle and numerical approximations via an adapted Euler-Maruyama scheme for jump-diffusions, we compute the optimal control paths across various environmental regimes. Numerical simulations confirm our theoretical analysis, illustrating that high-intensity Lévy jumps and regime transitions can suppress disease transmission, while optimal interventions significantly attenuate epidemic peaks under minimal resource expenditure.

Keywords: persistence and extinction, stochastic optimal control, Stochastic SIRS model, Markovian switching, Lévy jumps
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Bibliographic Information

Prof. Elena Rostova, Dr. Hiroshi Tanaka, (2026). Asymptotic Behavior and Optimal Control of a Stochastic SIRS Epidemic Model with Markovian Switching and Levy Jumps, SCI Journal of Mathematical Sciences and Computational Methods, 1(1): 13-18
Bibtex Citation
@article{prof._elena_rostova2026sjmscm,
author = {Prof. Elena Rostova and Dr. Hiroshi Tanaka},
title = {Asymptotic Behavior and Optimal Control of a Stochastic SIRS Epidemic Model with Markovian Switching and Levy Jumps},
journal = {SCI Journal of Mathematical Sciences and Computational Methods},
year = {2026},
volume = {1},
number = {1},
pages = {13-18},
doi = {},
url = {https://scimatic.org/show_manuscript/8745}
}
APA Citation
Rostova, P.E., Tanaka, D.H., (2026). Asymptotic Behavior and Optimal Control of a Stochastic SIRS Epidemic Model with Markovian Switching and Levy Jumps. SCI Journal of Mathematical Sciences and Computational Methods, 1(1), 13-18. https://doi.org/

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