Price Formation Modelling by Continuous-Time Random Walk: An Empirical Study

Price Formation Modelling by Continuous-Time Random Walk: An Empirical Study

Délèze, Frédéric;Osmekhin, Sergey;
journal of engineering science and technology review 2015 Vol. 8 pp. 12-15
234
dleze2015pricejournal

Abstract

Markovian and non-Markovian models are presented to model the futures market price formation. We show that the waiting-time and the survival probabilities have a significant impact on the price dynamics. This study tests analytical solutions and present numerical results for the probability density function of the continuoustime random walk using tick-by-tick quotes prices for the DAX 30 index futures.

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