Potential evapotranspiration (PET) is a necessary input data for most
hydrological models and is often needed at a daily time step. An accurate
estimation of PET requires many input climate variables which are, in most
cases, not available prior to the 1960s for the UK, nor indeed most parts of
the world. Therefore, when applying hydrological models to earlier periods,
modellers have to rely on PET estimations derived from simplified methods.
Given that only monthly observed temperature data is readily available for
the late 19th and early 20th century at a national scale for the UK, the
objective of this work was to derive the best possible UK-wide gridded PET
dataset from the limited data available.
To that end, firstly, a combination of (i) seven temperature-based PET
equations, (ii) four different calibration approaches and (iii) seven input
temperature data were evaluated. For this evaluation, a gridded daily PET
product based on the physically based Penman–Monteith equation (the CHESS
PET dataset) was used, the rationale being that this provides a reliable
ground truth
PET dataset for evaluation purposes, given that no directly
observed, distributed PET datasets exist. The performance of the models was
also compared to a
naïve method
, which is defined as the simplest
possible estimation of PET in the absence of any available climate data. The
naïve method
used in this study is the CHESS PET daily long-term
average (the period from 1961 to 1990 was chosen), or CHESS-PET daily
climatology.
The analysis revealed that the type of calibration and the input temperature
dataset had only a minor effect on the accuracy of the PET estimations at
catchment scale. From the seven equations tested, only the calibrated
version of the McGuinness–Bordne equation was able to outperform the
naïve method
and was therefore used to derive the gridded,
reconstructed dataset. The equation was calibrated using 43 catchments
across Great Britain.
The dataset produced is a 5 km gridded PET dataset for the period 1891 to
2015, using the Met Office 5 km monthly gridded temperature data available for that time period as input data for the PET equation. The dataset
includes daily and monthly PET grids and is complemented with a suite of
mapped performance metrics to help users assess the quality of the data
spatially.
This dataset is expected to be particularly valuable as input to
hydrological models for any catchment in the UK.
The data can be accessed at https://doi.org/10.5285/17b9c4f7-1c30-4b6f-b2fe-f7780159939c.