Abstract
Geological records reveal a number of ancient, large and rapid negative
excursions of the carbon-13 isotope. Such excursions can only be explained by
massive injections of depleted carbon to the Earth system over a short
duration. These injections may have forced strong global warming events,
sometimes accompanied by mass extinctions such as the Triassic-Jurassic
and end-Permian extinctions 201 and 252 million years ago, respectively. In many
cases, evidence points to methane as the dominant form of injected carbon, whether
as thermogenic methane formed by magma intrusions through overlying
carbon-rich sediment or from warming-induced dissociation of methane
hydrate, a solid compound of methane and water found in ocean sediments. As
a consequence of the ubiquity and importance of methane in major Earth
events, Earth system models for addressing such events should include
a comprehensive treatment of methane cycling but such a treatment has often
been lacking. Here we implement methane cycling in the Danish Center for
Earth System Science (DCESS) model, a simplified but well-tested Earth system
model of intermediate complexity. We use a generic methane input function
that allows variation in input type, size, timescale and ocean–atmosphere
partition. To be able to treat such massive inputs more correctly, we extend
the model to deal with ocean suboxic/anoxic conditions and with radiative
forcing and methane lifetimes appropriate for high atmospheric methane
concentrations. With this new model version, we carried out an extensive set
of simulations for methane inputs of various sizes, timescales and
ocean–atmosphere partitions to probe model behavior. We find that larger
methane inputs over shorter timescales with more methane dissolving in the
ocean lead to ever-increasing ocean anoxia with consequences for ocean life
and global carbon cycling. Greater methane input directly to the atmosphere
leads to more warming and, for example, greater carbon dioxide release from
land soils. Analysis of synthetic sediment cores from the simulations
provides guidelines for the interpretation of real sediment cores spanning
the warming events. With this improved DCESS model version and
paleo-reconstructions, we are now better armed to gauge the amounts, types,
timescales and locations of methane injections driving specific, observed
deep-time, global warming events.
Citation
ID:
221985
Ref Key:
shaffer2017geoscientificimplementation