static and dynamic prognostic factors for hepatitis-b-related acute-on-chronic liver failure

static and dynamic prognostic factors for hepatitis-b-related acute-on-chronic liver failure

;Jung Min Ha;Won Sohn;Ju Yeon Cho;Jeung Hui Pyo;Kyu Choi;Dong Hyun Sinn;Geum-Youn Gwak;Moon Seok Choi;Joon Hyeok Lee;Kwang Chul Koh;Seung Woon Paik;Byung Chul Yoo;Yong-Han Paik
american journal of clinical oncology 2015 Vol. 21 pp. 232-241
412
ha2015clinicalstatic

Abstract

Background/AimsHepatitis-B-related acute-on-chronic liver failure has a poor prognosis. However, the advent of potent oral antiviral agents means that some patients can now recover with medical treatment. We aimed to identify the prognostic factors for hepatitis-B-related acute-on-chronic liver failure including the initial as well as the dynamically changing clinical parameters during admission.MethodsSixty-seven patients were retrospectively enrolled from 2003 to 2012 at Samsung Medical Center. The patients were classified into three categories: Recovery group (n=23), Liver transplantation group (n=28), and Death group (n=16). The Liver transplantation and Death groups were combined into an Unfavorable prognosis group. We analyzed the prognostic factors including the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) scores determined at 3-day intervals.ResultsA multivariable analysis showed that the unfavorable prognostic factors were a high initial MELD score (≥28) (odds ratio [OR] =6.64, p=0.015), moderate-to-severe ascites at admission (OR=6.71, P=0.012), and the aggravation of hepatic encephalopathy during hospitalization (≥grade III) (OR=15.41, P=0.013). Compared with the baseline level, significant reductions in the MELD scores were observed on the 7th day after admission in the Recovery group (P=0.016).ConclusionsDynamic changes in clinical parameters during admission are useful prognostic factors for hepatitis-B-related acute-on-chronic liver failure.

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