the asian crisis contagion: a dynamic correlation approach analysis

the asian crisis contagion: a dynamic correlation approach analysis

;Essaadi Essahbi;Jouini Jamel;Khallouli Wajih
clinical and experimental pharmacology & physiology 2009 Vol. 56 pp. 241-260
217
essahbi2009panoeconomicusthe

Abstract

In this paper we are testing for contagion caused by the Thai baht collapse of July 1997. In line with earlier work, shift-contagion is defined as a structural change within the international propagation mechanisms of financial shocks. We adopt Bai and Perron's (1998) structural break approach in order to detect the endogenous break points of the pair-wise time-varying correlations between Thailand and seven Asian stock market returns. Our approach enables us to solve the misspecification problem of the crisis window. Our results illustrate the existence of shift-contagion in the Asian crisis caused by the crisis in Thailand.

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