Estimation of the reproductive number of novel coronavirus (COVID-19) and the probable outbreak size on the Diamond Princess cruise ship: A data-driven analysis
Abstract
The median with 95% CI of R0 of COVID-19 was about 2.28 (2.06-2.52) during the early stage experienced on the Diamond Princess cruise ship. The future daily incidence and probable outbreak size is largely dependent on the change of R0. Unless strict infection management and control are taken, our fi …
Keywords
National Center for Biotechnology Information
NCBI
NLM
MEDLINE
covid-19
sars-cov-2
coronavirus
humans
pubmed abstract
nih
national institutes of health
national library of medicine
pandemics
models
Incidence
pneumonia
computer simulation
biological*
probability
viral / virology
coronavirus infections / epidemiology*
viral / epidemiology*
disease outbreaks / statistics & numerical data*
pmid:32097725
pmc7110591
doi:10.1016/j.ijid.2020.02.033
sheng zhang
mengyuan diao
dechang chen
betacoronavirus / physiology
coronavirus infections / virology
ships / statistics & numerical data*
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267398
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